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Enfieldean

dean_r


There's a storm in my teacup!

Well, in my dollar store mug.


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Work irks.
Enfieldean
dean_r
The one thing that annoys me most when I work is when I have to deal with people who come in solely to waste my time. There are a fair few of them - a few mobs of troublemakers.

On the grand scale of things, they're harmless, but they're persistently annoying and every time you see them you can expect mocking comments until they know they've annoyed you or until they get bored. Is it a bad thing that I just act grumpy and annoyed by them immediately, so they stop sooner?

Puyo Pop Fever to try tomorrow, if that's good I'll nab it. I've got £12.50 in Game vouchers to use up, or I can get it from my shop if it arrives tomorrow with £8 off, and the £12.50 safe for whenever something else appears. Though if I dislike the game, it is easier to return it to Game.

A trip has been arranged - I plan to visit Shaz next Sunday 7th, and arrive back on Tuesday 9th. She's not been feeling too grand recently, a visit will hopefully cheer her up.

Sleep now. And the Monty Hall Problem.


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That's an interesting problem - the first player has an 80% chance of surviving the selection, the second 75%, the third 66.6%, and the fourth 50% (if one of the other players isn't killed first) - right? But then you've got to take into account the fact that there's a reasonably large probability that if you go later, someone else will die first, but I'm having difficulty working that out as a probability.


So far, so good. Although it can be calculated either way, you might find it easier to work out the odds of each particular player getting blasted, rather than each player surviving.

So, yes, you've got the odds of the first player getting blasted in the first round. Now you need to get the odds of the second player getting blasted in the first round. So he's got a 25% chance of hitting the wrong switch, but how often does this chance even come up?

Once you've got that, you should be able to get the rest from there.

20% each way?

So it's all the same odds. Very clever.

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